Polygynous Neighbors, Excess Men, and Intergroup Conflict in Rural Africa
Journal of Conflict Resolution • Vol/Iss. 64(2-3) • SAGE • Thousand Oaks, CA • Published In • Pages: 402-431 •
By Koos, Carlo, Neupert-Wentz, Clara
Hypothesis
An ethnic group's share of common borders with polygynous neighboring groups will be positively correlated with their risk of intergroup conflict. (409)
Note
Significant and positive for intergroup conflict data taken from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) (p<0.01); marginally significant and positive for data taken from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program - Georeferenced Event Dataset (UCDP-GED) (p<0.10). Results from both samples were more significant in the expected direction with all controls (ACLED: p<0.001; UCDP-GED: p<0.01).
| Test Name | Support | Significance | Coefficient | Tail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regression | Supported | See note | Not standardized | UNKNOWN |
| Variable Name | Variable Type | OCM Term(s) |
|---|---|---|
| Borders Shared with Polygynous Neighbors | Independent | Location, Polygamy, External Relations |
| Intergroup Conflict | Dependent | Instigation Of War, Warfare |